FLOODS AS ECONOMIC SHOCKS: A THEORETICAL ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACTS OF RIO NEGRO FLOODING ON THE AMAZONIAN INFORMAL ECONOMY
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.66104/zspvx848Keywords:
Floods. Informal economy. Resilience. Rio Negro. Vulnerability.Abstract
The study analyses the floods of the Rio Negro as phenomena that interfere in the dynamics of the Amazonian informal economy, particularly in relation to income, employment and adaptive strategies of traditional communities, considering the centrality of territory in organising productive practices and everyday social reproduction. It aims to understand how such events operate as economic shocks affecting informal activities, identifying patterns of impact and economic reorganisation in contexts of hydrological recurrence. It adopts a theoretical-interpretative approach, grounded in a critical literature review, articulating different contributions to interpret the effects of floods on informal productive systems. The analysis suggests that such events introduce discontinuities in circulation, work organisation and spatial use, requiring continuous adjustments in productive strategies. It indicates that floods may be interpreted as recurrent negative shocks associated with reduced economic stability and increased vulnerability, while also stimulating adaptive practices. It concludes that the informal economy tends to reorganise continuously in response to floods, operating as a flexible system facing environmental instability, contributing to the understanding of the relationship between territorial dynamics and regional economy in Amazonian contexts.
Downloads
References
ADGER, W. N. Vulnerability. Global Environmental Change, v. 16, n. 3, p. 268–281, 2006. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.02.006
ANDRELLO, Geraldo. Cidade de índio. São Paulo: Editora UNESP: ISA; Rio de Janeiro: NUTI, 2006.
ARANTES, Antonio Augusto. A guerra dos lugares. In: FORTUNA, Carlos (org.). Cidade, cultura e globalização. Oeiras (Portugal), Celta Editora, 1997.
AVEN, T. On the meaning of a black swan in a risk context. Safety Science, v. 57, p. 44–51, 2013. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2013.01.016
BARBOSA FILHO, J. Seca severa faz Amazonas decretar estado de emergência em 55 municípios. Brasil de Fato, 2023. Disponível em: <https://www.brasildefato.com.br/2023/>. Acesso em: 15 jan. 2026.
BOSE, R. Advanced analytics: opportunities and challenges. Industrial Management & Data Systems, Bradford, v. 102, n. 1, p. 155-172, 2009. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/02635570910930073
CARVALHO, Ismael Almeida; SILVA, Clodoaldo Matias da. The importance of financial management in optimising production processes. Revista Ibero-Americana de Humanidades, Ciências e Educação, [S. l.], v. 10, n. 12, p. 3487–3504, 2024. DOI: https://doi.org/10.51891/rease.v10i12.17697
CORRÊA, Roberto Lobato. O espaço urbano. São Paulo: Editora Ática, 1995.
DOLGUI, A.; IVANOV, D. Ripple effect in the supply chain: an analysis and recent literature. International Journal of Production Research, London, v. 59, n. 1, p. 411–429, 2021.
ENGLE, N. L. Adaptive capacity and its assessment. Global Environmental Change, v. 21, n. 2, p. 647–656, 2011. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.01.019
GUJARATI, D.; EAKIN, H.; LUERS, A. Exposure pathways: mapping climate risks and social vulnerability. Climatic Change, v. 91, n. 1–2, p. 75–88, 2008.
JACOBS, Jane. Morte e vida de grandes cidades. São Paulo: Editora WMF Martins Fontes, 2011.
JORDAN, A. J.; HUITEMA, D.; VAN ASSELT, H.; FORSTER, J. (ed.). Governing climate change: polycentricity in action? Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2018. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108284646
LIMA, G. Os isolados da seca na Amazônia: o drama de quem não tem água para beber. Brasil de Fato, 2024. Disponível em: <https://www.brasildefato.com.br/2024/08/27/os-isolados-da-seca-na-amazonia-o-drama-de-quem-nao-tem-agua-para-beber>. Acesso em: 28 fev. 2026.
LOUREIRO, L. da S.; MACIEL, J. S. C.; REAL DOS SANTOS, A. L. M. Influências e impactos da estiagem de 2023 na bacia do Amazonas. IV Encontro Nacional de Desastres. Associação Brasileira de Recursos Hídricos, 2024.
MUNFORD, Lewis. A cidade na história. São Paulo, Editora Martins Fontes, 1998.
SILVA, Clodoaldo Matias da. Entre rios secos e comunidades resistentes: as estiagens no Amazonas como desafio climático e territorial. Revista Ibero-Americana de Humanidades, Ciências e Educação, [S. l.], v. 11, n. 9, p. 3900–3916, 2025a. DOI: https://doi.org/10.51891/rease.v11i9.21306
SILVA, Clodoaldo Matias da. Entre rios secos e comunidades resistentes. In: Livro de Memórias do Sustentare & WIPIS. Anais...Campinas (SP) PUC CAMPINAS, 2025b. DOI: https://doi.org/10.29327/9786527222262.1134879
SOLDERA, Eliana Fernandes. A seca na Amazônia e seus impactos ecossistêmicos. Revista Aracê, São José dos Pinhais, v. 7, n. 4, p. 18188–18209, 2025. DOI: https://doi.org/10.56238/arev7n4-148
TALEB, N. N. A lógica do cisne negro: o impacto do altamente improvável. Rio de Janeiro: BestSeller, 2007.
VELHO, Gilberto. A utopia Urbana. Rio de Janeiro, Zahar Editores, 1978.
WEIS, S. W. M. et al. Vulnerability mapping for the assessment of urban climate risks: a global review. Climatic Change, v. 136, n. 1, p. 123–139, 2016.
ZUKIN, Sharon. Paisagens do século XXI: notas sobre a mudança social e o espaço urbano. In: O espaço da diferença. Antonio Augusto Arantes (org.). Campinas, SP: Papirus, 2000.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Clodoaldo da Silva, Matheus Frota Guimarães de Melo, Flávio Humberto Pascarelli Lopes, Denis Melo de Aguiar

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish in this journal agree to the following terms:
Authors retain copyright and grant the journal the right of first publication, with the work simultaneously licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits the sharing of the work with proper acknowledgment of authorship and initial publication in this journal;
Authors are authorized to enter into separate, additional agreements for the non-exclusive distribution of the version of the work published in this journal (e.g., posting in an institutional repository or publishing it as a book chapter), provided that authorship and initial publication in this journal are properly acknowledged, and that the work is adapted to the template of the respective repository;
Authors are permitted and encouraged to post and distribute their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their personal websites) at any point before or during the editorial process, as this may lead to productive exchanges and increase the impact and citation of the published work (see The Effect of Open Access);
Authors are responsible for correctly providing their personal information, including name, keywords, abstracts, and other relevant data, thereby defining how they wish to be cited. The journal’s editorial board is not responsible for any errors or inconsistencies in these records.
PRIVACY POLICY
The names and email addresses provided to this journal will be used exclusively for the purposes of this publication and will not be made available for any other purpose or to third parties.
Note: All content of the work is the sole responsibility of the author and the advisor.
