UNDERSTANDING PRODUCTION MANAGEMENT THEORY REGARDING DEMAND FORECASTING AND VARIATION: A LITERATURE REVIEW
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.61164/rmnm.v6i1.2513Keywords:
Forecasting; Variation in demand; Inventory management.Abstract
dedicated attention to demand planning. In the various operations of companies, the lack of predictability can lead to disruptions, excesses, or obsolescence of inventory, resulting in financial losses. Materials management contributes to competitive advantages, cost reductions, and investments in inventory. The lack of demand predictability represents a significant challenge. This article discusses how production management theory identifies demand forecasting and variability in the context of materials management in Brazilian cases, through a survey of practices and methods adopted by various studies. The study mapped out how production management theory understands demand forecasting and variability, examined studies on these topics, and analyzed how forecasting techniques impact inventory management, identifying recurring practices for collaboration between demand and materials planning. The research results reveal a diversity of perspectives when analyzing demand forecasting, showing that various factors influence demand and variations, but all agree that accurately predicting demand is crucial for managing inventory efficiently and satisfying customers. The importance of an efficient alignment between supply, planning, and commercial areas is highlighted, impacting positively on service levels. Therefore, these cases emphasize an integrated approach to supply chain management, aiming at risk reduction and resource optimization.
Downloads
References
BALLOU, R. H. Gerenciamento da Cadeia de Suprimentos: Planejamento, organização e logística empresarial. 5 Ed. Porto Alegre: Bookman, 2006.
BORGES C. T.; CAMPOS S. M.; BORGES C. E. Implantação de um sistema para o controle de estoques em uma gráfica/editora de uma universidade. Revista Eletrônica Produção & Engenharia, v. 3, n. 1, p. 236-247, Jul./Dez. 2010.
CORRÊA, H. L. Gestão de Redes de Suprimentos. 3. Ed. São Paulo: Atlas, 2010.
DE SOUSA, A.; VIAGI, A. Administração De Variações De Demanda Com Uso Do Estoque De Segurança. Revista Latino-Americana de Inovação e Engenharia de Produção, v. 8, n. 13, p. 16-34, 2020. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5380/relainep.v8i13.67846
DIAS, M. A. Administração de materiais: uma abordagem logística. 7. Ed. São Paulo: Atlas, 2019.
DOS REIS, J. et al. Previsão de demanda no mercado de varejo: um estudo de caso em um comércio de baterias automotivas. South American Development Society Journal, v. 1, n. 1, p. 1-16, 2017.
DOS SANTOS, M. et al. Cálculo da previsão de demanda de uma multinacional. Brazilian Journal of Development, v. 4, n. 6, p. 3035-3052, 2018.
GIL, A. C. Métodos e técnicas de pesquisa social. 7. Ed. São Paulo: Atlas, 2019.
GOMES, R.P; MILAN, W.W. Gestão de estoque pelo método do estoque máximo-mínimo em uma empresa de médio porte do ramo de revenda de combustível em Carneirinho-MG. Organizações e Sociedade, v. 6, n. 5, p. 19-36, 2017.
GONÇALVES, P. S. Administração de Materiais. 3. Ed. Rio de Janeiro: Atlas, 2020.
MARTINS, P. G. Administração de materiais e recursos patrimoniais. 3. ed. São Paulo: Saraiva, 2009.
NOVAES, A. G. Logística e Gerenciamento da Cadeia de Distribuição: Estratégia, Operação e Avaliação. 5ª Ed. São Paulo: Atlas, 2021.
SANTOS, A.; RODRIGUES, I. Controle de estoque de materiais com diferentes padrões de demanda: estudo de caso em uma indústria química. Gestão & Produção, v. 13, p. 223-231, 2006. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1590/S0104-530X2006000200005
SLACK. N, JONES. A, BURGUESS. N; Administração da Produção. 10 ed. São Paulo: Atlas, 2023.
SOUZA, J.; SANTOS, L. Análise do Impacto da Variação de Demanda sobre o Nível de Serviço Logístico: Um Estudo de Caso em uma Indústria Multinacional de Cosméticos. Universidade Federal de Campina Grande, 2020. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5151/viisimep-315604
TEIXEIRA, E. Gerenciamento De Estoques E Planejamento De Demanda: Estudo De Caso Na Empresa Imdepa Rolamentos Importação E Comércio Ltda. 2016. Trabalho de Conclusão de Curso de Especialização (MBA) - Universidade do Vale do Rio dos Sinos – UNISINOS, 2016.
TUBINO, D. F. Manual de Planejamento e Controle da Produção. 3. ed. São Paulo: Atlas, 2017.
VASCONCELLOS, M.; GARCIA, M. Fundamentos de economia. 6. ed. Saraiva, 2023.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Revista Multidisciplinar do Nordeste Mineiro
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish in this journal agree to the following terms:
Authors retain copyright and grant the journal the right of first publication, with the work simultaneously licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits the sharing of the work with proper acknowledgment of authorship and initial publication in this journal;
Authors are authorized to enter into separate, additional agreements for the non-exclusive distribution of the version of the work published in this journal (e.g., posting in an institutional repository or publishing it as a book chapter), provided that authorship and initial publication in this journal are properly acknowledged, and that the work is adapted to the template of the respective repository;
Authors are permitted and encouraged to post and distribute their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their personal websites) at any point before or during the editorial process, as this may lead to productive exchanges and increase the impact and citation of the published work (see The Effect of Open Access);
Authors are responsible for correctly providing their personal information, including name, keywords, abstracts, and other relevant data, thereby defining how they wish to be cited. The journal’s editorial board is not responsible for any errors or inconsistencies in these records.
PRIVACY POLICY
The names and email addresses provided to this journal will be used exclusively for the purposes of this publication and will not be made available for any other purpose or to third parties.
Note: All content of the work is the sole responsibility of the author and the advisor.
